Continues Exceptional Performance from Simulating Behavioral Economics

 

IntualityAI predicted the 2020 COVID surge 4 months in advanced:

 

Prediction is a decline in deaths beginning in January 2021:

 

Another successful Presidential Election prediction

Polling prediction converted to the Electoral College

 

The challenge: find a Futures fund with a better performance in 2020:

The Equities Portfolio was reduced from a maximum of 50 simultaneous positions to 5. This change makes its      trade selection more exclusive and produce better performance

TRADING PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS.  NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN REPORTED PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY THE INTUALITY TRADING PROGRAM OR PORTFOLIO. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE INTUALITY PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF REPORTED PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

TRADING PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS.  NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN REPORTED PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY THE INTUALITY TRADING PROGRAM OR PORTFOLIO. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE INTUALITY PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF REPORTED PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

 

The system has taken advantage of recent Bitcoin price volatility and not been caught in adverse price swings

TRADING PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE MANY INHERENT LIMITATIONS.  NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFITS OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN. IN FACT, THERE ARE FREQUENTLY SHARP DIFFERENCES BETWEEN REPORTED PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND RESULTS SUBSEQUENTLY ACHIEVED BY THE INTUALITY TRADING PROGRAM OR PORTFOLIO. THERE ARE NUMEROUS OTHER FACTORS RELATED TO THE MARKETS IN GENERAL OR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE INTUALITY PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF REPORTED PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS.

 

 

What can we say, but another stellar season in predicting football games. Where can you find an average weekly ROI of +50%? Kyle Bonn, of IntualitySports is working on plans to increase subscribers

for next season.

 

Remember that each of the above sector performances are being produced with the very same core logic – a new science we call Intuitive General Intelligence (IGI)

We are feverishly working completing the book, “Intuitive Rationality, Sherlock’s ‘the game is afoot’ with intuitive general intelligence” (Intuitive Rationality is the name of IntualityAI’s underlying science)

 

An excerpt from the introduction:

“What’s that?” I asked trying to control any emotional reaction to this whole notion of bias that seemed to dominate Sherlock’s thinking.

“In general, people are more averse to risk. They would prefer not to lose $100 than a chance to win the same amount. It’s to do with the way humans are wired. Survival is the most important goal and as a result, they are very, very sensitive to any kind of threat. Their whole system is devised to respond to threat first.”

“What’s that got to do with me showing up here, though?” I asked.

“Well, there was very little risk for you. You come here all the time, so if I didn’t show up, there was really nothing lost for you. But if I had asked you to join me at a place you had never been before, that was a 40-minute commute, you would have probably rated that as too risky, as in a possible waste of an important resource – your time.” 

“That’s probably true,” I agreed. “And am I right in assuming that when the ratio is less than 2.5:1 people will be more conservative in their choices?”

“On average studies have shown that people will choose to give up possible gains when they are less than 2.5 times their perceived gains,” said Holmes.

“But what happens if you play it too safe? Don’t you miss out on some possible big rewards and pay-offs?” I asked.

“Yes, when the ratio goes to 3 to 1, the potential gain to possible loss – overall less risky – people will likely choose the “riskier” option and go for the potential gain.

At this point, one of the baristas called out my name and I went to collect my vente caramel macchiato.

After I had added some sugar to it, I returned to the table to continue my conversation with Sherlock.”